Highlights – Key Market Insights
- USDA Crop Progress showed harvest moving up with corn ~18% and soybeans ~19% complete last week, keeping fieldwork active where conditions allow. DTN Profit Finder
- On-highway diesel averaged ~$3.75/gal in the latest weekly EIA update, a touch higher week-over-week, keeping trucking/drying budgets steady. U.S. Energy Information Administration
- WTI crude firmed to start the week after a smaller-than-expected OPEC+ output hike, helping keep fuel cost volatility contained for now. Reuters
- Fertilizer trends were mixed: urea/UAN eased, while DAP/MAP edged higher in USDA’s latest bi-weekly pricing snapshot. AMS USDA
Commodity Spotlights
🌽 Corn
- Harvest pace improved nationwide last week, helping basis and logistics normalize in parts of the Midwest as more new-crop supplies move. DTN Profit Finder
- Futures liquidity and interest stayed solid late week, with open interest rising alongside active trade into month-end. AP News
- Export & feed demand remain watch items, with ample expected U.S. supply keeping rallies in check on bounces. Reuters+1
🌱 Soybeans
- Soy harvest advanced alongside corn, keeping elevator space and scheduling tight in active areas. DTN Profit Finder
- Futures activity stayed brisk late week even as prices eased slightly, reflecting balanced near-term sentiment. AP News
- China buying remains a swing factor, so basis strength may be local where export interest and crush pull beans. ADM Investor Services
🌾 Wheat
- Wheat futures were mostly steady to slightly higher late week as traders weighed global supply headlines against U.S. competitiveness. Investing.com
- Ongoing big-crop expectations abroad continue to pressure U.S. export bids, keeping rallies limited without fresh demand. The Western Producer
🍚 Rice
- Arkansas harvest continues despite scattered rain, with milling quality still the chief concern for many growers. Stuttgart Daily Leader
- Rough rice futures held in recent ranges into late week, offering orderly hedging opportunities around harvest timing. CME Group
Fuel & Input Cost Watch
- WTI crude edged higher to start the week after the modest OPEC+ move, a path that tempers but doesn’t spike farm fuel costs. Reuters
- Retail diesel averaged $3.754/gal last week (+$0.005), keeping hauling and drying budgets largely steady. U.S. Energy Information Administration
- Urea/UAN drifted lower while DAP/MAP firmed, suggesting selective pre-buys in phosphorus and patience on nitrogen where storage allows. AMS USDA
Risk Management Quick Take
Set a floor into active harvest but keep some upside: modest put floors or min-price contracts can defend revenue while you work basis/local bids, and staggered pre-buys on diesel or MAP/DAP can steady fall input costs without overcommitting.
